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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99xutuu
Record (consensus markets)56% (10–8, n=18)71% (2024–808, n=2832)55% (372–304, n=676)83% (20–4, n=24)
Consensus PnL$792K$386K$436K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #14PM monthly #89PM monthly #897
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (101 of 152 open)50% (36 of 72 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 4)21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpnigiri99xutuu
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo
opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo
—Juncheng Shang $2.5KChristian Langmo $40—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.7KYes $364—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $442Yes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $915Yes $365—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $117Under $73—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $80Over $11—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $383Heat $46—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—