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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorphaveanedge.xyznigiri99
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2084–849, n=2933)no settled market55% (392–321, n=713)
Consensus PnL$856K$384K$0$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #13PM monthly #722PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (92 of 170 open)no open consensus position44% (30 of 68 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)—14% (won 37% of 79)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)—24% (won 59% of 138)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)—43% (won 72% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)—19% (won 98% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorphaveanedge.xyznigiri99
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.9K—Yes $364
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6K—Yes $1.3K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886—Yes $374
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108—Under $76
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110—Over $11
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $5—Georgia State $512
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388—Heat $46
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7—Yes $3