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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2084–849, n=2933)no settled market67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$856K$384K$0$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #13PM monthly #722was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (92 of 170 open)no open consensus position60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)—15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)—37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)—46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorphaveanedge.xyzZzzz87
Will Brazil win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.2K—Yes $12K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Over $13K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $393—Over $5.4K
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $960—Yes $239
Will Japan win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4—Yes $538
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43—Yes $189
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.8K—Over $1.1K
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $163