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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpHomeRunHazardLlamaLoco0000
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)52% (560–514, n=1074)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$1.0M$518K$410K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #8PM monthly #9was PM monthly #568
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (58 of 117 open)64% (47 of 74 open)0% (0 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢0%42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)—
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpHomeRunHazardLlamaLoco0000
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $2.5KFlames $225Flames $3.6K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $142—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30Arizona $3.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
same side · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $3Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32Under $997—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $45—