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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $841K | $770K | $643K | -$1.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 59% (58 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 100% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $1.3M | 49ers $103K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $40K | 49ers $1.7K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Clippers $37K | Hornets $433 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $26K | 49ers $246 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $3.7K | 49ers $4.9K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Suns $4.4K | Lakers $561 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $126K | Cowboys $64K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Clippers $1.1K | Clippers $5.2K | — |