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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | paule334 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (4–2, n=6) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 54% (208–175, n=383) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $460K | $822K | $232K | $6.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #530 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 71% (139 of 196 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | paule334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $193K | Pelicans $7.5K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $138K | — | Under $33K | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $116K | — | Flames $4.8K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $30K | — | Under $8.0K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $15K | Nuggets $18K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $2.4K | Wizards $21K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $5.7K | Packers $6.8K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $4 | Nuggets $37 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $218K | Spurs $12K | — |
| Celtics vs. Raptors same side · consensus Celtics | Raptors $168K | Raptors $45K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $22K | — | Raptors $14K | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $14K | Pacers $7.8K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $514 | Nets $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $643 | Grizzlies $1.7K | — |