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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1omnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (15507–15590, n=31097)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.2M$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #105PM monthly #60PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)74% (81 of 110 open)57% (118 of 207 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1omnibus-076daaprimm
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $100K—Arthur Fils $1.7K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $161—Yes $2—
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $132K—Magic $255—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $2.4K—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Dplus KIA
Dplus KIA $14K—Dplus KIA $11K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13K—Over $624—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $4.1K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—Yes $486—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $16—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70—Yes $330—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $66—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $40—Yes $23—