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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677ndb1NM-P
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)83% (5378–1108, n=6486)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$3.2M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #2PM monthly #105PM monthly #527
Sides with the consensus61% (14 of 23 open)no open consensus position74% (81 of 110 open)73% (134 of 184 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677ndb1NM-P
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $119K——Arthur Fils $1.0K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $1.1K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10——No $1.6K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $211K——Yes $4.4K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K——No $2.0K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.4K——Over $738
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29——No $2.3K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161——No $2.1K