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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1txwd9991
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)46% (142–166, n=308)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$14.8M-$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #986
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)no open consensus position62% (124 of 200 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +50 pts n=113, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=22, ROI +45%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%96% of 144 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)63% (won 95% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)36% (won 98% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)1% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1txwd9991
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11—No $44K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $5.0K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $211K—Yes $11K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $135K—Taylor Fritz $29K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $87K—No $26K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $24K—No $18K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $58—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $7.7K—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $106—No $8.0K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $2.0K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $213—