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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | no settled market | 68% (310–145, n=455) | 61% (38–24, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | — | -$57K | $11K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #37 + pinned | PM monthly #879 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (8 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 100% (9 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $3.1K | — | Jessica Pegula $17K | Jessica Pegula $2.8K |
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana $8.3K | — | — | Marco Cecchinato $13K |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.7K | — | Under $1.0K | — |
| Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet opposite sides · consensus Kyrian Jacquet | — | — | Hugo Grenier $198 | Kyrian Jacquet $716 |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo opposite sides · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $27 | — | — | Marko Topo $658 |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | — | Elmer Moeller $8.4K | — |
| Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet | — | — | Oliver Tarvet $436 | Oliver Tarvet $248 |
| Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | — | Aidan Mayo $214 | Aidan Mayo $117 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4 | — | Under $26 | — |