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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677NagastaBagambiRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (10–12, n=22)42% (23–32, n=55)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$20K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #2was PM monthly #890PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)64% (124 of 194 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%96% of 24 at avg 35¢, ROI +65%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)38% (won 100% of 9)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)54% (won 92% of 13)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677NagastaBagambiRN1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28——No $65K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $18K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K——Yes $9.6K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $215K——Yes $12K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165K——Taylor Fritz $38K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $89K——No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K——No $19K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $37K——Under $58
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $1.2K——Julia Riera $8.0K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $71——No $9.1K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $5.2K
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
same side · consensus GenOne
——GenOne $27GenOne $4.7K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $2.3K