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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | HoshinoAI | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 80% (4–1, n=5) | 66% (497–255, n=752) |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $421K | -$6.8K | -$131K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #147 | PM monthly #48 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (14 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 64% (86 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 11% of 9 at avg 20¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 89% (won 0% of 8) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 0% | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | HoshinoAI | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.1K | — | Yes $131 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Toledo $520 | — | — | UMass $1.3K |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $17K | — | — | Raptors $450 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $9.9K | — | — | Raptors $707 |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State same side · consensus Ball State | Buffalo $12 | — | — | Buffalo $7.1K |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $3.1K | — | — | Bucks $163 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $789 | — | — | Under $400 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $524 | — | — | Bucks $167 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $23 | — | — | Cavaliers $352 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $63 | — | — | Knicks $306 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $178 | — | — | Under $188 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $92 | — | — | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16 |