← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | e46m3 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | no settled market | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $0 | $23 | $251K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #141 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #19 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 86% (12 of 14 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | e46m3 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $50K | — | — | Jazz $22K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $7.3K | — | — | Thunder $54K |
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $453 | — | — | Kings $3.4K |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | — | — | Suns $111K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $6.5K | — | — | Suns $39K |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus FURIA | FURIA $13K | — | — | FURIA $6.8K |