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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | e46m3 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | no settled market | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 43% (122–164, n=286) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | $0 | $28 | $199K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #35 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (7 of 14 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (11 of 16 open) | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 6% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 100% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 61) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 12% (won 100% of 18) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | e46m3 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana $8.3K | — | — | Marco Cecchinato $80K |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | — | — | Jazz $17K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $18K | — | — | Under $735 |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo opposite sides · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $29 | — | — | Marko Topo $1.6K |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | — | — | Elmer Moeller $13K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $3.1K | — | — | Jessica Pegula $11K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | — | Kent State $1.2K |