← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | smoltrader | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 67% (383–189, n=572) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | -$126K | — | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | was PM monthly #368 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 66% (96 of 146 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | — | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — | 11% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | — | 52% (won 100% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | — | 30% (won 100% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | — | 7% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | smoltrader | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | Heat $949 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.8K | Magic $966 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | Heat $723 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | Heat $525 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Heat $98K | Heat $1.7K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $55K | Heat $18K | — | — |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $42K | Colorado Buffaloes $1.1K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.7K | Suns $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | Kings $839 | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $7.5K | Suns $528 | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $37 | Under $354 | — | — |