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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Jesetradingndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)74% (617–213, n=830)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.3K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #902PM monthly #140PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (14 of 25 open)50% (10 of 20 open)73% (33 of 45 open)64% (179 of 281 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%72% of 407 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)22% (won 16% of 90)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)8% (won 42% of 33)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)6% (won 85% of 26)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)63% (won 94% of 258)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Jesetradingndb1RN1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $96K——Yes $50K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.9K——Yes $29K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4——Under $17K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K——No $6.5K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.5K——No $1.5K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $980——Over $205
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $202Yes $177——
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270K——No $6.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87K——No $4.4K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49KYes $3.4K——
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $315——No $15K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K——No $9.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K——Arthur Fils $11K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248——Under $371
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81