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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpJ-E-R
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)44% (159–201, n=360)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$4.1M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #9was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus65% (22 of 34 open)70% (101 of 145 open)86% (63 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +5 pts n=54, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Elections −1 pts, n=78
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 403)70% (won 4% of 263)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 38% of 228)4% (won 53% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)15% (won 62% of 214)6% (won 70% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)40% (won 94% of 553)20% (won 92% of 77)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpJ-E-R
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $211KT1 $5—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $48KCardinals $121—
Lakers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $352KLakers $6.6K—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $178K—No $24
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $27KCoco Gauff $9.9K—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $15KMavericks $499—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1KYes $2.7K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.8KLakers $3.6K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $22
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $1.6KLakers $758—