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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 41% (3270–4728, n=7998) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | -$460K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #255 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (13 of 26 open) | 67% (303 of 454 open) | 74% (525 of 706 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Alexander Zverev $12K | Lorenzo Musetti $20K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | Thiago Agustin Tirante $14K | Jan-Lennard Struff $10K | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | Martin Damm $420 | Tom Gentzsch $902 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $214 | — | No $891 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $29 | No $51 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $267K | No $2.0K | — | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $87K | No $101K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | — | Yes $464 | — |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $25K | Over $17K | — | — |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $16K | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $4.8K | No $25K | — | — |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $315 | No $18K | — | — |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $4.3K | Laura Samson $2.2K | — | — |
| Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $187 | Yes $2.5K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $160 | Under $2.5K | — | — |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $99 | No $2.4K |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $86 | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $66 | Yes $525 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | Under $40 | — | — |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $22 |