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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ethanael02 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | no settled market | 67% (383–189, n=572) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $15K | — | -$126K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #400 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (62 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 92% of 66 at avg 69¢, ROI +22% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 9% (won 83% of 6) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 44% (won 90% of 29) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 47% (won 97% of 31) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ethanael02 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $90K | Heat $10K | — | Heat $19K |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $98K | — | — | Jazz $1.8K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $11K | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | — | — | Heat $696 |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.7K | — | — | Trail Blazers $207 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | — | — | Heat $710 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | — | Heat $527 |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | — | — | Kings $740 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $332 | — | — | Trail Blazers $182 |