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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Crypto-JoeFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)65% (90–49, n=139)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$5.8K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #879PM monthly #22PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)80% (8 of 10 open)66% (226 of 343 open)67% (26 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 18% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 47% of 19)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)27% (won 81% of 26)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)42% (won 93% of 41)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Crypto-JoeFlaznorpprimm
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902—Eastern Michigan $60Eastern Michigan $417
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $9.7K—Lakers $606—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0K—Bulls $156—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0K—Grizzlies $522—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $149No $1.7K——
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $399—76ers $885—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $768—Lakers $31—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108K—Thunder $3.2K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
76ers $90K—76ers $7.3K—
Raptors vs. Nuggets
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $73K—Nuggets $2.8K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50KYes $678——
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16K—Suns $2.3K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $11K—Sacramento State $215—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $9.3K—Spurs $51—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K—Raptors $379—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6—Pacers $4.1K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $54—Over $2.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3K—Celtics $1.3K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $82—Over $799—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $237—Timberwolves $131—