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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankdonubeFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)70% (709–303, n=1012)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$1.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #3PM monthly #149 + pinnedPM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)78% (25 of 32 open)80% (136 of 171 open)75% (121 of 162 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Mentions −13 pts, n=20Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 6% of 202)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)5% (won 43% of 49)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)6% (won 53% of 55)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)67% (won 96% of 612)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankdonubeFlaznorp
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45No $72KYes $21K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $51KNo $195—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $268K——Dplus KIA $25
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $20KNo $443
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K——Under $254
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6.5KNo $402
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $499
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.2KNo $357
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.7KNo $624
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.6KNo $662
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $14No $651
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $234
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K—No $47K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $115K——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $26KNo $2.4K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K——Alice Tubello $4.6K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——