← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | broskye | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (41–44, n=85) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 75% (510–174, n=684) |
| Consensus PnL | -$367K | $779K | $3 | $59K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #348 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 79% (30 of 38 open) | 65% (121 of 187 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=119 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 25% of 209 at avg 28¢, ROI +8% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 66% (won 1% of 137) | 34% (won 10% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 8% (won 53% of 17) | 19% (won 29% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 8% (won 47% of 17) | 13% (won 55% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 18% (won 89% of 38) | 34% (won 83% of 30) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | broskye | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $46K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | — | Magic $206 |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $17K | — | — | Bucks $258 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | — | Heat $5.7K |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.1K | — | — | Bucks $246 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $10 | — | — | Jazz $181 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $51 | — | — | Miami (OH) $36 |