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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | tugator | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 13% (35–238, n=273) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $14.8M | $35K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #692 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 64% (179 of 281 open) | 79% (73 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Crypto −34 pts, n=189 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 25% of 225 at avg 54¢, ROI −20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 5% (won 0% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 74% (won 10% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 5% (won 36% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 16% (won 100% of 36) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | tugator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $96K | No $327K | Yes $50K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $3.2K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | No $651K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $64K | Yes $32K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | No $148 | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | Yes $29K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $17K | — |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.5K | — | No $1.5K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $980 | — | Over $205 | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $87K | — | No $4.4K | — |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $315 | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | No $9.8K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | Arthur Fils $11K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $371 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Over $81 | — |