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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Pondermint | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 67% (423–206, n=629) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $173K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #390 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (15 of 22 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 58% (99 of 171 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | MLB −2 pts, n=87 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 11% of 63) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 11% (won 35% of 52) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 12% (won 63% of 56) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 65% (won 90% of 314) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Pondermint | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $48K | — | — |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | — | No $8.3K |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | Julia Riera $870 | — | — | Renata Zarazua $988 |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $106 | — | — | Yes $9 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $78K | Yes $2.4K | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $25K | — | — | Under $14 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $773 | — | — | No $4.2K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | — | Over $2.5K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | — | No $468 |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $161 | — | — | No $213 |