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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-P
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)82% (5570–1213, n=6783)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$148K
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #546
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)86% (24 of 28 open)70% (106 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 99% of 259)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 895)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 954)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 2163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-P
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Taylor Fritz $72K—Arthur Fils $952
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $789
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10—No $1.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $229—Jaguars $893
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $132K—Magic $360
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K—No $2.0K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Over $820
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $2.7K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $2.2K