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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-Pjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)82% (5570–1213, n=6783)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$148K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #3PM monthly #522PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)82% (23 of 28 open)67% (70 of 104 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 99% of 259)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 895)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 954)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 2163)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-Pjoseph00677
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $45K——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2K—Jaguars $876—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K—No $5.4K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $7.6K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Over $813—
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K—Jan-Lennard Struff $280—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $218—No $521—