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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | GC-P | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 82% (5633–1264, n=6897) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $148K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 67% (29 of 43 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 99% of 259) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 21% (won 100% of 895) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 22% (won 100% of 954) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 51% (won 100% of 2163) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | GC-P | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $266 | Warriors $3.5K | — | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $1.8K | — | Florida Atlantic $287 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $68K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $19K | Warriors $821 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $500 | — | Magic $540 | — |