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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 82% (14–3, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #778 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 65% (277 of 425 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $96K | No $327K | Yes $133K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $3.2K | No $46K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | No $651K | No $40K | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $64K | Yes $117K | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | Yes $102K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $24K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $980 | — | Over $6.0K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | — | Bucks $251 | — |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $267K | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $87K | — | No $101K | — |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $315 | — | No $51K | — |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | No $45K | — |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $25K | — | Over $17K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $6.9K | Celtics $215 | — |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $160 | — | Under $2.5K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $40 | — |