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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3326, n=7862) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 43% (905–1186, n=2091) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.3M | $3.6M | $38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (242 of 321 open) | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Crypto −9 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 45% of 1470 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 48% (won 5% of 710) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 32% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 7% (won 66% of 106) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 93% of 563) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | — | Under $238 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | No $494 | — |
| Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | — | Under $943 | — |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.2K | — | No $2.2K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $132K | — | Carlos Alcaraz $7.7K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $48K | — | — |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | Over $830 | — |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7.6K | — | Over $65 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | — | — |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $3.5K | — |