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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (20 of 28 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 68% (229 of 336 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $3.6K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | 76ers $90K | Pistons $90K | 76ers $7.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | Celtics $880 | Celtics $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $805 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $14K | Bucks $2.4K | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $429 | — | Hornets $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $3.0K | — | Bulls $156 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.0K | — | Grizzlies $649 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $399 | — | 76ers $891 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | Eastern Michigan $60 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $336 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $108K | — | Thunder $3.6K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $20K | — | Sacramento State $215 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $16K | — | Suns $2.5K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15K | — | Over $4.1K | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.4K | — | Thunder $8.5K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $9.3K | — | Spurs $51 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | Raptors $379 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $442 | Pistons $1.5K | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $156 | — | Timberwolves $120 | — |