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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpTan4321
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)100% (3–0, n=3)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.5M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus61% (14 of 23 open)86% (24 of 28 open)69% (305 of 439 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 3 at avg 97¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)0%
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpTan4321
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $119K—Arthur Fils $8.7K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $48K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $1.2K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $899—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $211K—Yes $24K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $31K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $3.6K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29—No $13K—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $106—No $6.1K—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870—Julia Riera $4.7K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $4.1K—