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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)81% (25 of 31 open)71% (79 of 112 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $56K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $440Warriors $143
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $97K——
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
——SE Palmeiras $16KSE Palmeiras $8.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $3.4KBianca Andreescu $5.8K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
——Federico Coria $3.6KFederico Coria $5.5K
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
——Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1KJoao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $138Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8Under $316
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $192Warriors $108
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42