← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Newshound | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 74% (430–151, n=581) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | $779K | $59K | $715 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | was PM monthly #949 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (7 of 14 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 70% (135 of 193 open) | 33% (3 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Newshound |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $45K | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | — | Jazz $198 | — |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7.8K | — | Under $3.0K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.4K | — | Heat $558 | — |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | Under $502 | — |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo same side · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $31 | — | Dali Blanch $219 | — |