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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (21–17, n=38) | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 60% (3–2, n=5) | 75% (9–3, n=12) |
| Consensus PnL | -$212K | $8.4M | -$4.0K | $83K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #918 | PM monthly #41 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 83% (34 of 41 open) | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 0% (0 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $235K | — | Vikings $8.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $123K | — | Vikings $35K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $142K | — | Vikings $8.6K |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $25K | — | Vikings $9.8K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $18K | Bills $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $13K | — | Vikings $7.9K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $26 | No $41K | — | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $32 | — | — | Under $16K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |