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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ariola76 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | no settled market | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | — | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #419 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (17 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 62% (124 of 200 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ariola76 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | — | No $44K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | — | No $5.0K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $211K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz same side · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $135K | — | — | Taylor Fritz $29K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $87K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $24K | — | — | No $18K |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $25K | — | — | Under $58 |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Julia Riera | Julia Riera $870 | — | — | Julia Riera $7.7K |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $106 | — | — | No $8.0K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | — | No $2.0K |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $161 | — | — | No $213 |