Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2920d1023AD811c4321572CBD970398D9190f978-1775942251723fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)50% (4–4, n=8)54% (13–11, n=24)71% (2047–832, n=2879)55% (389–318, n=707)
Consensus PnL$14K$590K$386K$445K
Tracked asPM monthly #878PM monthly #35PM monthly #13PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)59% (80 of 136 open)45% (30 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2920d1023AD811c4321572CBD970398D9190f978-1775942251723fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4.9KYes $375
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $436Yes $1.3K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $886Yes $365
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $108Under $76
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $79Over $11
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $388Heat $46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
——Spirit $4Spirit $402
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $3