PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
windgecko9RN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12314–13195, n=25509)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (13798–13934, n=27732)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #957PM monthly #25 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (26 of 35 open)100% (2 of 2 open)42% (10 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2507)3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5408)29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8790)54% (won 51% of 115)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7551)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwindgecko9RN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
—Vitality $17K—Nemiga $3.1K
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.4K—Emilio Camacho $1.7K
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $4.4K—Adrian Mannarino $2.6K
Brest: Federico Cina vs Dino Prizmic
opposite sides · consensus Dino Prizmic
—Dino Prizmic $2.4K—Federico Cina $3.7K
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
same side · consensus Nemiga
—Nemiga $4.6K—Nemiga $804
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Eternal Fire
—Eternal Fire $1.2K—Eternal Fire $88
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $648—Under $36
Courmayeur: Ayla Aksu vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Ayla Aksu $26—Ayla Aksu $35