PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
warm35657RN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12314–13195, n=25509)45% (516–628, n=1144)50% (13798–13934, n=27732)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #503PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (27 of 36 open)63% (26 of 41 open)46% (12 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2507)10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5408)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8790)34% (won 99% of 176)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7551)20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwarm35657RN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
opposite sides · consensus Lilli Tagger
—Lilli Tagger $29K—Han Shi $33K
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
—Vitality $16K—Nemiga $4.5K
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.4K—Emilio Camacho $1.7K
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Daniil Medvedev $4.4K—Adrian Mannarino $2.6K
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
same side · consensus Nemiga
—Nemiga $4.6K—Nemiga $804
Brest: Federico Cina vs Dino Prizmic
same side · consensus Dino Prizmic
—Dino Prizmic $2.4K—Dino Prizmic $99
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Eternal Fire
—Eternal Fire $1.2K—Eternal Fire $88
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $979—Under $36
Courmayeur: Ayla Aksu vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Ayla Aksu
—Ayla Aksu $20—Ayla Aksu $35