PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
trabaRN1omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)48% (16–17, n=33)48% (11959–12793, n=24752)50% (13500–13645, n=27145)45% (503–616, n=1119)
Consensus PnL-$3.4K$13.4M$3.5M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #822PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #15PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)62% (21 of 34 open)54% (13 of 24 open)66% (35 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 58% of 840)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2168)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)38% (won 94% of 3916)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3284)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettrabaRN1omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $1.2K—Cavaliers $1.5KWizards $197K
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $528Warriors $102K
76ers vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $104Pacers $5.4K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KOver $210—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Mavericks $405—Mavericks $37K
Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich
same side · consensus Dylan Dietrich
—Dylan Dietrich $993Dylan Dietrich $26—
Heat vs. Hawks
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $7—Heat $367—