← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| traba | RN1 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 48% (11959–12793, n=24752) | 45% (503–616, n=1119) | 50% (13500–13645, n=27145) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.4K | $13.4M | $11.1M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #822 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #15 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 62% (21 of 34 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) | 54% (13 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 8% (won 58% of 840) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 21% (won 86% of 2168) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 38% (won 94% of 3916) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 32% (won 99% of 3284) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | traba | RN1 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Wizards $1.2K | — | Wizards $197K | Cavaliers $1.5K |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Warriors $102K | Timberwolves $528 |
| 76ers vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Pacers $5.4K | 76ers $104 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.6K | — | Over $210 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Mavericks $405 | Mavericks $37K | — |
| Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich same side · consensus Dylan Dietrich | — | Dylan Dietrich $993 | — | Dylan Dietrich $26 |
| Heat vs. Hawks same side · consensus Heat | Heat $7 | — | — | Heat $367 |