PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sapupusainttroplayRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12150–12996, n=25146)50% (13659–13787, n=27446)
Consensus PnL-$355$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #999was PM monthly #11PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #25
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position47% (15 of 32 open)47% (9 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8705)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsapupusainttroplayRN1omnibus-076daa
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
——Blue Jackets $535Hurricanes $4
M25 Tamworth: Anton Shepp vs Blake Ellis
opposite sides · consensus Anton Shepp
——Blake Ellis $147Anton Shepp $156
Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
——Darwin Blanch $985Darwin Blanch $263
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus Yes
No $950——No $11
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $641Yes $14
M25 Tamworth: Matthew Dellavedova vs Isaac Becroft
same side · consensus Matthew Dellavedova
——Matthew Dellavedova $179Matthew Dellavedova $38
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Renata Zarazua $3Renata Zarazua $54