← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sapupu | RN1 | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 48% (12150–12996, n=25146) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (13659–13787, n=27446) |
| Consensus PnL | -$355 | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #25 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 47% (15 of 32 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 59% of 860) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sapupu | RN1 | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Blue Jackets $535 | — | Hurricanes $4 |
| M25 Tamworth: Anton Shepp vs Blake Ellis opposite sides · consensus Anton Shepp | — | Blake Ellis $147 | — | Anton Shepp $156 |
| Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Darwin Blanch $985 | — | Darwin Blanch $263 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29? same side · consensus Yes | No $950 | — | — | No $11 |
| CR Flamengo leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $641 | — | Yes $14 |
| M25 Tamworth: Matthew Dellavedova vs Isaac Becroft same side · consensus Matthew Dellavedova | — | Matthew Dellavedova $179 | — | Matthew Dellavedova $38 |
| W100 New Braunfels, TX: Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Renata Zarazua $3 | — | Renata Zarazua $54 |