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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1tntlym
Record (consensus markets)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #63PM monthly #37 + pinnedPM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)66% (114 of 173 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)0%
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)100% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1tntlym
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
Iowa State $1.8KBaylor $25K—
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $191KNotre Dame $25K—
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
Georgia $14KGeorgia $5.5K—
Spread: Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
Michigan State $14KMichigan State $5—
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
Notre Dame $63Notre Dame $2.7K—
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida
Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $24—