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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | tntlym | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #63 | PM monthly #37 + pinned | PM monthly #739 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 64% (108 of 168 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +17% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 100% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | tntlym |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $189K | Notre Dame $36K | — |
| Georgia vs. Ole Miss same side · consensus Georgia | — | Georgia $14K | Georgia $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Michigan (-13.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $14K | Michigan State $5 | — |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $61 | Notre Dame $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Florida | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $30 | — |