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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | tntlym | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #742 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (107 of 149 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 57% (34 of 60 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +17% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 100% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | tntlym |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $210 | Miami (FL) $18K | — |
| Oklahoma vs. Florida opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Oklahoma $1.4K | Florida $2.3K | — |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $169K | Notre Dame $48K | — |
| Spread: Michigan (-13.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $15K | Michigan State $5 | — |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $52 | Notre Dame $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Florida | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $30 | — |