PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (13588–13717, n=27305)62% (383–231, n=614)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12104–12931, n=25035)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$4.6M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #62was PM monthly #24PM monthly #14 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (24 of 46 open)33% (1 of 3 open)100% (2 of 2 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 860)9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2252)56% (won 99% of 214)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 94% of 4102)34% (won 100% of 129)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3425)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
Natus Vincere $57KNatus Vincere $48K—Vitality $95K
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $66K——Aurora Gaming $9.1K
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FaZe
FaZe $18KGamerLegion $12K——
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Lilli Tagger
Magda Linette $23——Lilli Tagger $8.0K
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
MOUZ $100——Aurora Gaming $6.5K
M25 Sheffield: Roan Jones vs Viktor Durasovic
opposite sides · consensus Viktor Durasovic
Viktor Durasovic $57——Roan Jones $199
W75 Glasgow: Amelia Rajecki vs Ella Seidel
same side · consensus Ella Seidel
Ella Seidel $1.1K——Ella Seidel $2.1K