← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | UpTheBlues | vtcchampion52 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (14740–14843, n=29583) | 50% (18936–19161, n=38097) | 45% (258–312, n=570) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $3.0M | $3.1M | $48K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #62 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #369 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 63% (90 of 143 open) | 63% (31 of 49 open) | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) | 42% (won 3% of 223) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) | 17% (won 33% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) | 13% (won 78% of 69) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) | 28% (won 99% of 151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.