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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)65% (882–468, n=1350)50% (15050–15076, n=30126)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)46% (264–312, n=576)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.0M$14.8M$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #143PM monthly #57PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #295
Sides with the consensus78% (25 of 32 open)60% (89 of 149 open)55% (21 of 38 open)53% (10 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaRN1vtcchampion52
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $943—
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $281Yes $542—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68No $663—
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Michael Wright $3Jeremy Gschwendtner $150—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Talia Gibson $1.1KTalia Gibson $26K—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus FURIA
—TheMongolz $15K—TheMongolz $54
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $207—
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $3Otto Virtanen $10K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maya Joint
—Maya Joint $3.2KMaya Joint $1.4K—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Deborah Chiesa $18Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Buriram United leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $52—
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
same side · consensus FURIA
—TheMongolz $27—TheMongolz $9