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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | User1244322 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14365–15875, n=30240) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) | 79% (399–104, n=503) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | $3.1M | -$495K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #844 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 52% (15 of 29 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 91% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +18% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 7% (won 61% of 31) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 15% (won 85% of 67) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 27% (won 88% of 125) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 51% (won 98% of 232) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | User1244322 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $60 | No $174 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | Under $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $41 | Under $801 | — |