PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mananfc7RN100gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12150–12996, n=25146)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13659–13787, n=27446)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #515PM monthly #17 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #25
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)54% (25 of 46 open)no open consensus position50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)0%8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)0%21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)100% (won 86% of 7)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)0%32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmananfc7RN100gringo00omnibus-076daa
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
—CR Vasco da Gama $2—CR Flamengo $652
W100 New Braunfels, TX: Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Xinyu Gao $276—Renata Zarazua $346
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Blue Jackets $535—Hurricanes $4
M25 Tamworth: Anton Shepp vs Blake Ellis
opposite sides · consensus Anton Shepp
—Blake Ellis $147—Anton Shepp $156
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $6.0KNo $7.7K——
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7K—No $196
Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Darwin Blanch $1.3K—Darwin Blanch $263
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $6
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $641—Yes $14
M25 Tamworth: Matthew Dellavedova vs Isaac Becroft
same side · consensus Matthew Dellavedova
—Matthew Dellavedova $179—Matthew Dellavedova $38
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $85—No $20