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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | petanimal | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 36% (720–1298, n=2018) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $87K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #283 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 94% (33 of 35 open) | 69% (11 of 16 open) | 53% (76 of 144 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections ±0 pts, n=801 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 8% of 1912 at avg 7¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 95% (won 4% of 1811) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 40% of 30) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 2% (won 73% of 41) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 2% (won 87% of 30) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | petanimal | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $32K | Over $6.8K |
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $853 | Over $5.8K |
| Spread: Bengals (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $747 | Bengals $2.2K |
| Spread: Bengals (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | — | — | Bengals $908 | Falcons $1.5K |
| Bengals vs. Falcons same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Bengals $42K | Bengals $8.1K |